Indonesia’s Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati has set an ambitious economic growth target of 5.2% to 5.8% for 2026, as outlined in the Macroeconomic Framework and Fiscal Policy Priorities (KEM-PPKF). This goal is part of a broader strategy to reach 8% growth in the coming years, aligning with the nation’s long-term vision of Indonesia Maju 2045. To support this, the government plans to strengthen household purchasing power, advance economic transformation—including natural resource downstreaming—and improve investment climate and human capital development.

Despite global uncertainties, the government remains optimistic. The 10-year government bond yield is forecasted at 6.6–7.2%, bolstered by investor confidence and stable fiscal policy. The rupiah is projected to range between IDR 16,500 and IDR 16,900 per USD in 2026, while inflation is expected to stay within 2.5±1%. Key energy targets include crude oil prices of USD 60–80 per barrel, with daily oil lifting at 600,000–605,000 barrels and gas at 953,000–1.017 million BOE. The 2026 fiscal policy will focus on accelerating growth, improving public welfare, and reducing poverty. Meanwhile, Indonesia is actively engaging with the U.S. to mitigate the impact of reciprocal tariffs, seeking fair and balanced trade relations amid a slowing global economy.

Source:
https://koran-jakarta.com/2025-05-21/menkeu-targetkan-pertumbuhan-ekonomi-58-pada-tahun-2026